Home Blog Page 81

Peacebuilding in Colombia: Is President Petro’s “Total Peace” Working? 

0
Image Credit: Leon Hernandez


Colombia experienced civil conflict for over 50 years, but there has been significant progress towards peace since the 2016 peace agreement between the government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC).  After some setbacks, the peace process received a boost following the election of Gustavo Petro in 2022, who proposed “total peace” as a new approach to ending violence and enhancing the peace process. 

The Colombian Conflict involved a wide array of armed groups, with leftist guerilla groups, most notably the FARC and the National Liberation Army (ELN), fighting the government since the beginning. As the conflict continued, right-wing paramilitary groups emerged to oppose the guerillas. Over time, Colombia also became a center of the international drug trade, which led to a more violent and militarized conflict. Furthermore, with the rise of large drug cartels who exported drugs to other countries, including the United States, the conflict took on an international dimension and involved different foreign actors. 

Since the 1990s, negotiations between the government and armed groups have been successful and adopted by successive Colombian presidents. In 1990, for example, the M-19 guerillas signed a peace agreement that resulted in their demobilization and their formation as a legitimate political party. In 2006, the largest paramilitary organization, the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC), demobilized  after negotiations with the government. Finally, in 2016, as mentioned, the government signed a historic peace deal with the FARC, ending the conflict with the largest guerilla group. This agreement included numerous provisions intended to address the issues that caused the conflict in the first place, including land reform and restorative justice mechanisms.

In 2022, Gustavo Petro, who was a former member of M-19, won the Colombian presidential election. As a former guerilla who entered politics and won a national election, Petro is a prominent example of the effectiveness of peace negotiations. His trajectory may help members of other armed groups recognize that political participation can be more effective than armed struggle. At the center of his agenda is a push for “total peace”, which includes outreach to all remaining armed groups in the hopes of negotiating a peaceful end to fighting. Dr. Gwen Burnyeat, an expert on Colombia and Research Fellow at the University of Oxford, states that “total peace” “meant full implementation of the 2016 peace accord signed with the FARC guerrilla, and negotiations with the remaining armed groups in Colombia, which include the ELN guerrilla, FARC dissidents who did not sign the 2016 accord, FARC deserters who rearmed following the signing of the accord alleging unsatisfactory implementation of the accord and lack of security guarantees, and a complex set of paramilitary and criminal organisations.” 

In 2023, Petro’s initiative is bearing fruit. The government announced a ceasefire with the ELN, following a long period of talks. Soon after, an agreement was reached to begin talks with one of the largest groups of FARC dissidents. While neither of these agreements will make further fighting impossible, they are important steps towards dialogue. The ELN has been fighting the government for decades, and any agreement to formally end hostilities would be historic. Negotiations with FARC dissidents can help to fulfill the promise of the 2016 peace deal, and hopefully reduce the level of violence in Colombia. 

It is crucial that any progress made in 2023 is not undone in future years. The implementation of the 2016 agreement has been troubled. Petro’s predecessor, Ivan Duque, had opposed the deal. Burnyeat warns that “peacebuilding ultimately will depend on long-term political developments, such as the local elections due to take place this year, and the next general elections in 2026, and whether civil society mobilises sufficiently around the imperative for peace.”

Peace News also spoke with Dr. Andrei Gómez-Suárez, who is the co-founder of Rodeemos el Dialogo (Embrace Dialogue), a transnational network dedicated to building a culture of dialogue and supporting peace initiatives in Colombia. According to Gómez-Suárez, “the developments in the negotiations with the ELN, in regards to the participation of civil society are encouraging… the implementation of the 2016 peace agreement is fully underway after four years of stagnation during the Duque Administration, in particular, the support of the government to the Special Jurisdiction for Peace is helping unveil the state responsibility in gross human rights violations paving the way for sustainable reconciliation in Colombia.”

While there is notable progress, there are also some setbacks, with the government ending a ceasefire with the Clan del Golfo, one of the largest criminal organizations in the country. However, these recent developments have led to a newfound sense of optimism in the country. According to Monica Guasca, an expert on peace in Colombia at KU Leuven in Belgium, “three decades ago, envisioning the Colombia we see today seemed nearly impossible. Back then, we were accustomed to a constant barrage of bombs, mass displacements, and daily clashes between armed groups. The idea of a peaceful Colombia was reserved for idealists. Planning for the future felt futile, as the primary focus was survival in the present. Yet, here we stand, facing numerous challenges and conflicts but also contemplating the future. All in all, several windows of opportunity at both macro and micro levels give me an optimistic outlook on Colombia’s peace processes.”

Peace News has written other stories about Colombia in the past, which you can read here. In June, we published an article written by Dr. Gómez-Suárez about illegal mining and peace. Every week, we publish a new edition of our This Week in Peace series, which highlights peacebuilding around the world. which has included recent developments in Colombia. You can also sign up for our monthly newsletter here, which will keep you updated on the important stories we publish each month. 
Experts cited: Gwen Burnyeat, Andrei Gómez-Suárez, Monica Guasca

This Week in Peace #3: October 6

0
Roberta Metsola, President of the European Parliament, who took part in recent peace initiatives (Image Credit: European Parliament)

Welcome to the newest installment of This Week in Peace, where we highlight breaking news in global peacebuilding each week. 

This week, we cover a number of events around the world, including the imminent announcement of the winner of the 2023 Nobel Peace Prize. We also discuss developments involving Armenia, Azerbaijan, Colombia, Cyprus, and Ethiopia. 

2023 Nobel Peace Prize 

This year’s winner of the Nobel Peace Prize will be announced later today. In the past two years, the prize has been awarded to those working to support press freedom, democracy, and civil liberties in Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine. There are a number of potential candidates for this year’s award. They include activists for women’s rights in Afghanistan and Iran, who have put themselves at great personal risk. Other potential laureates include activists for indigenous rights in the Philippines and the Amazon Basin, the International Court of Justice, civil society groups in Myanmar, and a US-based NGO that uses statistics to support human rights. 

Setbacks for Peace talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan attended EU-mediated talks in Spain this week, but Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev chose not to attend. Relations between the two countries remain extraordinarily tense following the Azerbaijani takeover of the formerly autonomous enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh, which led to a mass exodus of over 100,000 ethnic Armenians. On Thursday, October 5, both sides accused the other of firing across the border

The region faces an uncertain future now that Azerbaijan appears to have achieved military superiority, and there are fears of future conflict. The news that Aliyev and his close ally, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, chose not to attend these most recent talks is disappointing and detrimental to the chance at long-term peace, which can only come through dialogue. 

We recently published an article on the recent developments in Nagorno-Karabakh. You can find it here, or on our website. We have also published numerous other stories on this conflict, and will continue to cover further developments as they occur. 

Colombia’s Apology for “False Positive” Killings 

The Colombian government issued a public apology for the deaths of 19 civilians killed by security forces and falsely registered as guerillas. In the early 2000s, the Colombian military carried out thousands of extrajudicial killings, with civilians deliberately targeted and  in order to meet targets set by high-ranking officials. This apology is the latest development in the “total peace” agenda of President Gustavo Petro, a former member of the M-19 guerrilla group who has made ending Colombia’s long civil conflict a priority. 

A key pillar of Petro’s initiative is engaging in dialogue with all armed groups in Colombia in an attempt to end decades of conflict. There has been some recent success (which we covered in the first edition of This Week in Peace), which has led to optimism that perhaps “total peace” can successfully end to organized violence and civil conflict in Colombia. This apology is a positive step towards ensuring accountability for past abuses regardless of who the perpetrator was. 

Peace News has written several stories on peacebuilding in Colombia in the past, and will be publishing another on the progress of “total peace” on Monday. Read those articles here, or on our website. 

Hopes for a Renewed Peace Process in Cyprus

Roberta Metsola, the President of the European Parliament, publicly supported the appointment of a UN envoy tasked with resolving the division of Cyprus. Since 1974, the northern third of the island has been occupied by Turkey. Tens of thousands of Turkish troops remain on the island, and Turkey is the only country to recognize the self-proclaimed Turkish Cypriot state. Numerous efforts to find a peaceful resolution to the conflict have failed, most notably the UN-brokered Annan plan in 2004. 

The most recent talks failed to find a solution, ending in 2017. Inflammatory statements from the Turkish Cypriot leader and ongoing tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean between Turkey and EU member states, including Greece and Cyprus, have complicated the situation even further. It is unclear whether this latest initiative will lead to a breakthrough that can peacefully resolve the situation and lead to reconciliation between the two communities. 

Read a past Peace News story covering potential talks in Cyprus here, and keep an eye out for further stories on this issue. 

EU Support for Peacebuilding in Ethiopia

The European Union reiterated its commitment to provide a large aid package to Ethiopia in support of peacebuilding, after it had been delayed by the Tigray War. The peace deal that ended this conflict successfully ended the fighting, although there are fears of continued atrocities and ethnic conflict (we covered this issue in the previous edition of This Week in Peace). 

The EU publicly voiced its support for the implementation of that peace agreement. Despite government efforts to rebuild Tigray and address many of the issues resulting from the destructive war, numerous concerns remain, including whether peace will hold, and if accountability and peace can both be achieved.

You can read our previous coverage of Ethiopia here: https://peacenews.com/category/ethiopia/

This Week in Peace #2: September 29

0

Welcome to the newest installment of This Week in Peace, where we highlight breaking news in global peacebuilding each week. 

This week, we cover the continued crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh, developments in Sudan and Ethiopia, and the ongoing negotiations between Israel and Saudi Arabia. 

Ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh 

The situation in Nagorno-Karabakh continues to develop, with fears of a humanitarian crisis growing. Following the rapid Azerbaijani military victory, Armenians began to flee, fearing further outbreaks of the ethnic violence that has been an unfortunate feature of conflicts in the disputed territory. The situation is rapidly developing, recent estimates are that 70,000 people, over half of the region’s Armenian population, have fled, and the exodus seems set to continue. The future of the region’s remaining population is unclear, a blockade of the region had caused shortages of food and other vital products even before the outbreak of military conflict. A fuel explosion increased civilian suffering, and many fear reprisals, despite Azerbaijani statements that the Armenian population are welcome to remain in their homes as long as they become Azerbaijani citizens. 

Peace News published an article on this issue yesterday, read it here or on our website.

Threats to Peace in Ethiopia 

Open warfare in Ethiopia between the central government and the Tigrayan People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), ended with a peace agreement last year, following two years of devastating war which displaced up to 2 million civilians. Both sides were accused of committing atrocities against civilians, and there are fears that abuses may continue, especially in areas near the Eritrean border. Violence in the Amhara region, between the government and ethnic militia groups, has raised fears of further conflict in the country. The threat to peace was illustrated by the postponement of the Tana Peace Forum, which was scheduled to take place in a region now affected by this newest conflict. 

Read some of our past stories on Ethiopia: https://peacenews.com/category/ethiopia/

A Chance for Peace in Sudan? 

As fighting continues between the military government of Sudan and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), there have been some positive developments that have raised hopes for an eventual peaceful resolution of the conflict. Both sides have been accused of targeting civilians, and the RSF has been accused of atrocities in Darfur, raising fears of a repeat of past crimes against humanity in that region. General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, the head of the Sudanese military, recently said for the first time that he would be willing to sit down with the head of the RSF. While both sides continue to fight, this is a positive step for peace in the country, following the breakdown of several peace initiatives. Hopefully this represents an openness on both sides to find a diplomatic solution, and a committment to respect the safety and security of Sudanese civilians. 

Read our past coverage of Sudan here: https://peacenews.com/category/sudan/

Saudi-Israeli Peace Initiative

Negotiations continue between Israel and Saudi Arabia, as slow but steady progress is made on a peace agreement that would normalize ties between the two countries. The deal would be an important step for peace in the region, and could help to promote reconciliation in the region. Concerns remain over the future of the Israel-Palestinian peace process, which could potentially hold up the deal. The U.S. and Saudi Arabia have pushed for Palestinian inclusion in the negotiations, while members of Israel’s governing coalition oppose any concessions. A potential deal would be the latest in a series of normalization deals between Israel and Arab states, and hopefully continue a trend of actors in the region working towards build reconciliation instead of division. 

Read some of our past coverage of these issues: https://peacenews.com/category/israel-palestine/

Nagorno-Karabakh: What a “Victor’s Peace” Looks Like

0
Ethnic Armenians flee their homes in Nagorno-Karabakh

Azerbaijan recently captured  the semi-autonomous Nagorno-Karabakh region following a military operation on September 20, 2023, in what appears to be the final chapter in a long-running conflict over the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh. The dispute has a significant ethnic dimension – Nagorno-Karabakh had a majority Armenian population despite being located within Azerbaijan. The modern-day conflict began in 1988 during the slow breakdown of the Soviet Union, and fighting broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 1992. That war lasted until 1994, when Russia brokered a ceasefire. Thousands of soldiers and civilians were killed and hundreds of thousands of civilians were displaced. 

After the ceasefire, Armenian forces occupied the Azerbaijani territory surrounding the internationally unrecognized Republic of Artsakh for over 25 years. In 2020, following decades of intermittent clashes, a full-scale conflict broke out once again. Azerbaijan retook much of the territory that had been occupied in the previous war, after a military modernization program which gave it military superiority. Civilians were often caught in the crossfire, with shelling of civilian areas and the usage of cluster munitions. A new ceasefire brokered by Russia, which included the presence of Russian peacekeepers, lasted until 2023, when Azerbaijan initially blockaded the region before launching a September 20 military operation, which led to a quick surrender of the authorities in Nagorno-Karabakh, with neither Russian peacekeepers nor Armenian forces intervening. 

Following the Azerbaijani victory, a humanitarian crisis has unfolded in Nagorno-Karabakh with much of the population determined to leave. Azerbaijan has publicly stated that Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh could stay with no changes besides accepting Azerbaijani citizenship. However, due to the long history of distrust, with multiple instances of ethnic cleansing, most Armenians have chosen to leave their homes. Exact numbers are hard to find but some estimates place the figure at over half of the region’s Armenian population at week after the military victory.

Many critics around the world accuse the Azerbiajan government of another Armenian Genocide, as the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh has involved an economic blockade on civilians and the use of force allegedly aimed at ethnic cleansing. Azerbaijan is an important geopolitical player in Eurasia, having become an important energy supplier to Europe after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The European Union has attempted to mediate between the two sides, however, critics view the efforts as insufficient, and a  prioritization of energy needs over human rights. 

In our past video on the conflict, a variety of experts on the region and the conflict spoke about the difficulty of finding the space to actually talk about peace. The longstanding tensions, and the history of violence , had stigmatized the idea of working for peace. The violent nature of the latest events, and the concerning and ongoing refugee crisis, suggests that past peace efforts have failed. In order to avert more mass suffering and further violence, dialogue and peace talks on meeting humanitarian needs and avoiding future violence are urgently needed. While authorities in Azerbaijan have indicated that Armenians can live freely, practice their religion, and retain their cultural identity, as long as they acceptAzerbaijani citizenship, those statements must be backed by action on the ground. Many in the region are traumatized due to past violence,  inflammatory statements, and the blockade over most of 2023 that has caused significant civilian suffering. 

Peace News spoke with Professor Margaret Tadevosyan, an expert at George Mason University’s Jimmy and Rosalynn Carter School for Peace and Conflict Resolution, who stated: 

“I believe that the risk of future military escalation in the region remains high. The major outstanding point of this [November 9] agreement is the “opening of all communications in the region,” which Azerbaijan refers to as the “Zangezur corridor.” Given the recent military escalation, the ambiguous international response, strains in Russian-Armenian relations, internal political processes that are unfolding in Armenia, and Turkey’s support for Azerbaijan, it is possible that Azerbaijan will try to “open” the corridor” by force if no tangible agreement on this issue is reached.” 

This would mean that the larger war may still have another chapter, with Azerbaijan feeling confident due to its military superiority and the lack of international support for Armenia to date. According to Tadevosyan, “although we have seen slightly more direct statements from Germany and the United States regarding the recent escalations, and Azerbaijan’s leadership has also made promising statements about not considering a forceful opening of the corridor, a consistent and strong international engagement is necessary to ensure a non-return to violence in the region.”

Given recent events, Tadevosyan concludes that long-term positive peace in the region is unlikely in the foreseeable future. Instead, “[w]hat we have now is a “victor’s peace,” which has been the default way that peace was and is still constructed in all of the South Caucasus conflict contexts. The potential for genuine prospects of lasting peace will strongly depend on how the Azerbaijani government chooses to treat the regained Nagorno-Karabakh territory. If it is completely stripped of the Armenian cultural heritage then any possibility of discussing long-term positive peace in the region will be lost. However, if Armenian cultural heritage is acknowledged, respected and protected, it will send a powerful and positive signal and will leave a window of opportunity open for possible meaningful engagement and peacebuilding work in the future.” 

Peace News will continue to cover this issue as it unfolds, including in our weekly series This Week in Peace. You can also subscribe to our monthly newsletter to get updates on all our stories as well. 

Expert interviewed: Margarita Tadevosyan

This Week in Peace #1: September 22

0

Welcome to the first installment of our new series: This Week in Peace, where we will highlight developments in global peacebuilding each week. 

This week, we cover the end of a brief conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, continued progress towards “total peace” in Colombia, and Saudi Arabia’s involvement in three different peace initiatives. 

Ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh 

A deal was reached to end renewed fighting in the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh just a day after it began. An Azerbaijani offensive had raised fears of renewed fighting in the region, with concerns of potential ethnic cleansing and a wider conflict involving Armenia and other actors. This was the latest escalation of the conflict over the disputed area, which is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan but has a majority Armenian population. Two wars, one in the 1990s and one in 2020, have been fought over the territory, with a Russian intervention ending the most recent conflict. Whether or not this most recent development will lead to lasting peace remains to be seen, but the swift end of this new conflict is a positive development. 

Peace News recently produced a video exploring this conflict and the prospects for longterm peace. Watch it here: https://peacenews.com/can-peace-be-achieved-in-nagarno-karabakh/

A New Ceasefire in Colombia

Colombia announced a 10 month ceasefire and upcoming peace talks with a FARC dissident group. This follows the announcement earlier this summer of a ceasefire with the National Liberation Army (ELN), positive steps towards ending fighting in Colombia’s civil conflict, which has lasted for over half a century. The current Colombian administration is aiming for a “total peace” with armed groups in the country, and this recent news is an important step towards ending the long-running civil conflict.

Read some of our past stories on Colombia: https://peacenews.com/category/colombia/

Saudi Arabia and Israel

The EU and a group of Arab States convened a working group during the UN General Assembly to create a peace package intended to “reinvigorate the peace process in the Middle East” and work towards a Two-State Solution. Whether or not this initiative will succeed where many others have failed remains to be seen, however it is a sign that peace is always possible, despite recent struggles.  

 Saudi Arabia, one of the countries included in this initiative, is engaged in separate negotiations with Israel aimed around normalizing relations, with the United States playing an important role. While this deal would not fully resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict in its current state, it would still be an important step towards reducing tensions in the region. 

Read some of our past coverage of these issues: https://peacenews.com/category/israel-palestine/

Positive Steps Towards Peace in Yemen

Saudi Arabia and the leadership of the Yemeni Houthi rebel group recently held five days of talks in the kingdom. While details were scarce, both sides publicly stated that the talks had a positive outcome, which raises hopes that the long conflict could be resolved peacefully. In 2014, the Houthis seized the capital, Sana’a, and large parts of the country, which was followed by military intervention by a Saudi-led coalition. The conflict has created a humanitarian crisis in Yemen and any step towards peace is a positive development. 

Read our stories on Yemen here: https://peacenews.com/category/yemen/

Peace at risk in Mali after clashes between government and rebel groups 

Concerns grew over the risk of increased violence in Mali, as Tuareg rebel groups claimed to have captured two military bases. Mali, like other countries in the Sahel, has been confronting a long-running transnational jihadist insurgency, and has experienced two recent coups, which replaced French military assistance with Wagner Group mercenaries. A resumption of conflict between the government and Tuareg groups would further degrade the security situation in the country and place Malian citizens at risk. There is an urgent need for

Read past PNN coverage of Mali here: https://peacenews.com/category/mali/