In the Philippines, Bangsamoro’s First Election is the Beginning of Peace Efforts, Not the End

On September 14, 2026, nearly 2.4 million voters in the Philippines’ Bangsamoro region will do something they have never done before: elect the parliament that will govern their autonomous region. The date has been declared a special non-working day so that residents can participate in the Philippines’ first regular parliamentary election at the regional level.

From 1968 until February 2019, the region was engulfed in a conflict between the government and two insurgent groups, the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). The conflict killed around 150,000 people

The number of registered voters alone makes the election unusual. The Commission on Elections (COMELEC) says 2.39 million voters are registered to vote across the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM). For almost eight years, BARMM has been governed by an appointed Bangsamoro Transition Authority (BTA). The next government will have to answer to a different source of political authority, the electorate. The harder test begins when a peace-process government becomes an ordinary government that can win, lose, bargain, and be held accountable.

After the Peace Agreement, Eight Years of Transition Finally Meet an Election

BARMM was created in 2019 after the ratification of the Bangsamoro Organic Law (BOL), itself the product of the 2014 Comprehensive Agreement on the Bangsamoro (CAB) between the Government of the Philippines (GPH) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). The agreement is the final peace accord between the government and the MILF. 

The transition was initially expected to end in 2022. Elections were then moved to 2025, rescheduled, and finally set by Congress for the second Monday of September 2026. RA 12317 extended the BTA until elected successors qualified and fixed the first elected Parliament’s assumption of office on 30 October.

Those delays were not simply scheduling problems. The entire logic of the post-agreement settlement depended on an appointed transition eventually giving way to an elected government. The BTA was meant to build institutions, enact priority codes, establish ministries and prepare the region for parliamentary rule. Its temporary character gave it a special kind of legitimacy; it was governing in order to complete a peace agreement.

The first elected Parliament will inherit those institutions, but its political justification will be different. It will no longer be enough to say that the government represents the peace process. Parties will have to say that they represent voters.

The Source of Legitimacy is About to Change

This is the deeper importance of September 14. The MILF-led transition derived authority from negotiation, revolutionary history, appointment, and the mandate to implement the CAB. The first regular government will have to survive through electoral competition, parliamentary numbers, and public performance.

This shift broadens the test of government. During the transition, a central task was to establish the institutions promised in the peace settlement. An elected government will also have to demonstrate how those institutions improve everyday life through reliable public services, livelihood opportunities, community security, and accountable spending. Voters will judge whether its promises produce tangible results. At subsequent elections, they can renew their support or choose competing parties, while the government’s continued tenure will depend on maintaining parliamentary support. Implementing the peace agreement, therefore, becomes an ongoing responsibility whose outcomes must earn public trust.

The Peace Agreement Now Enters Competitive Politics

Th election will also change the relationship between the peace process and the regional government.

Until now, the MILF has occupied a distinctive position. It negotiated the CAB, led the first transition government, and created a political party, the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), to enter electoral politics. After the election, the peace agreement will remain binding, but control of the autonomous government will depend on voters and parliamentary coalitions rather than on the transitional arrangement alone.

This matters because the peace process is unfinished. In August, the government and MILF Peace Implementing Panels resumed formal engagement and issued a declaration of continuity in implementing the CAB. Yet normalization still extends beyond the transition calendar. More than 13,000 MILF combatants and thousands of weapons remain for the final decommissioning phase, while other commitments involving socioeconomic support, private armed groups, camp development, and transitional justice remain incomplete. Mohagher Iqbal, chair of the MILF Peace Implementing Panel, has stressed that the peace process will continue beyond the September 14 election. For communities still awaiting the livelihood support, security measures, and camp development promised under the peace agreement, the election raises a practical question of how their elected representatives will help turn these commitments into improvements in daily life.

That creates an important distinction. The political transition can end on October 30 even while the peace process continues. The first elected Parliament will therefore govern a post-transition BARMM that is still living with unfinished post-agreement obligations.

Competitive politics will bring those obligations into a different arena. Opposition parties can question how normalization funds are spent. Coalitions can disagree over the priority given to camps, decommissioned combatants, internally displaced communities or transitional justice. Parliament can scrutinize ministries and budgets. The peace agreement will increasingly have to coexist with ordinary democratic disagreement.

That is both the promise and the risk of September 14. A peace settlement becomes more durable when disagreement can be institutionalized. It also becomes more politically demanding when no single organization can assume that its interpretation of the settlement will go uncontested.

The temptation will be to treat a peaceful vote and the proclamation of winners as proof that the transition has succeeded. That would set the bar too low. The real achievement will come when the institutions created during transition can absorb electoral competition without losing the peace, and when parties learn that an electoral mandate is temporary, conditional, and answerable to the people who gave it.

Keywords: Philippines, Bangsamoro, election, Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao, BARMM, peace, conflict, conflict resolution, Bangsamoro Organic Law, Comprehensive Agreement on the Bangsamoro

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Raihan A. Yusoph is a faculty member in the History Department at Mindanao State University–Marawi City, Philippines. He is currently pursuing a PhD in the International Peace and Coexistence Program at Hiroshima University in Japan as a MEXT (Monbukagakusho) Scholar of the Japanese Government. He has presented research at international conferences across Asia, Europe, and North Africa. His research focuses on Bangsamoro studies, peace and conflict studies, and biographical studies, with publications in Scopus-indexed, peer-reviewed international books, and journals.

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